Association of the Wall and Ceiling Industry Logo

Builder Confidence Up on Strong Demand as Supply Challenges Persist


Low existing inventories and strong buyer demand helped push builder confidence higher for the third consecutive month even as supply-side challenges—including building material bottlenecks and lot and labor shortages—remain stubbornly persistent. Builder sentiment in the market for newly built single-family homes moved three points higher to 83 in November, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index released Nov. 16, 2021.

    

“The solid market for home building continued in November despite ongoing supply-side challenges,” said NAHB Chairman Chuck Fowke, a custom home builder from Tampa, Fla. “Lack of resale inventory combined with strong consumer demand continues to boost single-family home building.”

    

“In addition to well publicized concerns over building materials and the national supply chain, labor and building lot access are key constraints for housing supply,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “Lot availability is at multi-decade lows and the construction industry currently has more than 330,000 open positions. Policymakers need to focus on resolving these issues to help builders produce more housing to meet strong market demand.”

    

Derived from a monthly survey that NAHB, the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as “good,” “fair” or “poor.” The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to very low.” Scores over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor.

    

The HMI index gauging current sales conditions rose three points to 89 and the gauge charting traffic of prospective buyers also posted a three-point gain to 68. The component measuring sales expectations in the next six months held steady at 84.

    

Looking at the three-month moving averages for regional HMI scores, the Midwest rose four points to 72, the South registered a four-point gain to 84, and the West rose one point to 84. The Northeast fell two points to 70.

    

HMI tables can be found at nahb.org/hmi.

Browse Similar Articles

You May Also Like

New research has ranked the United States’ most populated industries and estimated what their pay could look like in 2033, in line with inflation, and the results are surprising.
A composite image made of a silhouette of the United States covered in grass.

U.S. Green Building Council Announces Top 10 U.S. States for Green Building in 2023The U.S. Green Building Council has released its annual list of Top 10 States for LEED. For

AWCI's Construction Dimensions cover

Renew or Subscribe Today!