The Dodge Momentum Index moved 4.1 percent higher in September to 143.6 (2000=100) from the revised August reading of 137.9. The momentum index, issued by Dodge Data & Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year.
The gain in September was due entirely to an 8.9 percent increase in the commercial component, while the institutional component fell 4.8 percent.
For the third quarter, the overall momentum index averaged 140.1, a scant increase of 0.7 percent from its average in the previous quarter. Compared to the third quarter of 2018, however, the Momentum Index is 8.6 percent lower with the commercial component 3.7 percent lower than a year ago and the institutional component down 16.2 percent. While the dollar volume of projects in planning is certainly lower than it was a year ago, the index has moved more sideways than downward over the last two quarters.
In September, 15 projects each with a value of $100 million or more entered planning. The leading commercial projects were a $400 million consolidated rental car facility at Newark International Airport in Newark, N.J., and a $163 million embassy renovation in Arlington, Va. The leading institutional projects were a $235 million dormitory project in Irvine, Calif., and the $180 million Jefferson Regional Medical Center in Pine Bluff, Ark.
